Kosmos
Markets × Truth × Community
Realtime social intelligence for prediction markets

Trade the future.
Debate the present.
Price the truth.

Kosmos is a social prediction platform where users trade ideas, debate narratives, build credibility by being right, and discover signal faster through markets than through traditional news.

ἀγορά
Agora
Public square. Best for community, discourse, and social trading.
μαντεῖον
Manteion
Oracle. Best for foresight, news watch, and sensing what is coming before consensus forms.
Build Community
Find your niche community, follow the people you believe in, and trade ideas through live public discourse.
Daily active threads0.0k
Top community this hour: Macro Agora
Find Truth
96%
Get market-moving news early, and see truth emerge through live probability, public conviction, and market response.
News velocity +12% in the last 10 minutes
Core pillars

Follow the best thinkers, debate the biggest narratives, and earn visible credibility by being correct when it counts.

Social Trading

Follow people, not just markets. See positions, conviction, track record, and how ideas evolve over time.

Public Discourse

Every thesis, market, or headline has a discussion layer where arguments compete in public.

Credibility

Earn status by being correct. Reputation is built from outcomes, not aesthetics or follower count alone.

Signal Discovery

Markets often react before traditional media catches up. Kosmos helps you see that early movement and understand what it means.

Social layer

Built for trading ideas to be shared, challenged, and improved in public.

Kosmos is not just a charting surface. Users can publish a thesis, attach market exposure, cite a headline, and let the community weigh in. That creates a cleaner loop between information, conviction, and price.

Market Thread
Will the Fed cut before July?
428 comments · 71% Yes · catalyst watch active
News Watch
Semiconductor export policy update
Volatility rising across AI hardware names
Top Trader
High-conviction position shared
12.4% return past 30 days · 84% discussion agreement
News watch

A faster way to monitor what matters.

Instead of generic feeds, Kosmos organizes information around what can move a market. Follow catalysts, breaking stories, and narrative shifts with direct links into discussion and tradable markets.

Macro headlines tied directly to relevant prediction markets
Sector watchlists that surface unusual attention and sentiment changes
Signal-first layout that reduces clutter and highlights decision-making context
Prediction markets

Put money where your mouth is. Turn uncertainty into probability.

Prediction markets give Kosmos its core truth engine. Every topic becomes more useful when you can see not only what people are saying, but what they are willing to price.

BTC above $120k by year-end
Probability63%
24h+4.2%
Fed cuts by next meeting
Probability39%
24h-1.1%
OpenAI launches new flagship model
Probability72%
24h+6.8%
S&P 500 closes month green
Probability58%
24h+2.5%
Why it feels different

Your one-stop shop. Signal to execution, no tab-switching required.

Connect your existing prediction market accounts and trade directly from inside Kosmos. Get live feeds and breaking news pulled from social media — all alongside the community conviction that makes every decision sharper.

Connect your accounts
KalshiConnect
PolymarketConnect
Live social feeds & news
X / Twitter
Reddit
More sources coming
Discover
See what traders, communities, and news flows are paying attention to right now.
Debate
Pressure-test ideas in threaded discussion attached to specific claims and positions.
Price
Use prediction markets to translate narrative into probability and expected outcomes.
Act
Follow people, build conviction, and move from signal to execution with less friction.
Launch vision

A new home for market-native social media.

Kosmos is designed for people who want more than disconnected feeds and stale news terminals. It is where social conviction, live information, and prediction markets meet.